• Subscribe
  • Magazines
  • About
  • Contact
  • Advertise
Wednesday 2 July 2025
  • zh-hant 中文
  • ja 日本語
  • en English
IAG
Advertisement
  • Newsfeed
  • Mag Articles
  • Video
  • Opinion
  • Tags
  • Regional
    • Africa
    • Australia
    • Cambodia
    • China
    • CNMI
    • Europe
    • Hong Kong
    • India
    • Japan
    • Laos
    • Latin America
    • Malaysia
    • Macau
    • Nepal
    • New Zealand
    • North America
    • North Korea
    • Philippines
    • Russia
    • Singapore
    • South Korea
    • Sri Lanka
    • Thailand
    • UAE
    • Vietnam
  • Events
  • Contributors
  • SUBSCRIBE FREE
No Result
View All Result
IAG
  • Newsfeed
  • Mag Articles
  • Video
  • Opinion
  • Tags
  • Regional
    • Africa
    • Australia
    • Cambodia
    • China
    • CNMI
    • Europe
    • Hong Kong
    • India
    • Japan
    • Laos
    • Latin America
    • Malaysia
    • Macau
    • Nepal
    • New Zealand
    • North America
    • North Korea
    • Philippines
    • Russia
    • Singapore
    • South Korea
    • Sri Lanka
    • Thailand
    • UAE
    • Vietnam
  • Events
  • Contributors
  • SUBSCRIBE FREE
No Result
View All Result
IAG
No Result
View All Result

No sign of eVisa boost as Morgan Stanley revises down Macau estimates for 2023 and 2024

Ben Blaschke by Ben Blaschke
Tue 22 Nov 2022 at 04:58
VIP Baccarat falls below 50% of Macau GGR contribution in 2Q19 as mass continues to rise
35
SHARES
865
VIEWS
Print Friendly, PDF & Email

Mainland China resumed the issuance of eVisas to Macau from 1 November, but three weeks in there is no sign of any increase in visitor numbers as the mainland battles rising cases of COVID-19, according to investment bank Morgan Stanley.

In a Monday note, analysts Praveen Choudhary and Gareth Leung noted that near-term recovery could remain muted due to the current COVID spikes in Guangdong and elsewhere in China, effectively negating the resumption of eVisas.

“According to the Baidu Search Volume index, which tracks the incidence of keywords on Baidu search engines by Chinese Internet users (both Mobile and PCs), search volumes for keyword ‘Macau IVS’ did not increase even after e-visa channels reopened,” they wrote.

“The search volume for Guangdong users even plummeted, likely due to the high number of new COVID cases in the province (>400 new cases per day, 40% of the national total).”

While Morgan Stanley suggests IVS travelers, who comprised 50% of pre-COVID visitation from the mainland, could return in some numbers from 2Q23 as China’s COVID conditions improve, the bank has revised down its estimates for 2022, 2023 and 2024 by 15%, 3% and 13% respectively.

Gross gaming revenue is now tipped to reach just US$5.6 billion this year at 15% of 2019 levels, rising to US$16 billion in 2023 at 43% of 2019 levels and US$26 billion in 2024 at 70% of 2019 levels. EBITDA in 2023 is estimated at US$3.5 billion or 37% of 2019 levels.

The analysts have also introduced their estimate for 2025, when they expect GGR to reach almost US$29 billion, comprising US$23.5 billion in revenue from mass gaming at 116% of 2019 levels and US$2.6 billion in slot revenue at 115%, but just US$2.9 billion from VIP gaming at 20% of 2019 levels.

Morgan Stanley’s revised future estimates follow a challenging September quarter for Macau’s operators, which saw them fall to a combined EBITDA loss of almost US$600 million with industry debt climbing to US$23.3 billion – up from US$4.8 billion at end-2019.

RelatedPosts

Macau Legend says no concerns over ability to continue after reaching agreement with lenders to defer HK$2.1 billion in looming repayments

Macau Legend says no concerns over ability to continue after reaching agreement with lenders to defer HK$2.1 billion in looming repayments

Wed 2 Jul 2025 at 06:19
Macau GGR comes in at MOP$18.9 billion in April, up 1.7% year-on-year

JP Morgan: Macau GGR surge seemingly sparked by direct VIP, ultra-premium mass gaming customers

Tue 1 Jul 2025 at 18:15
On the brink

Macau GGR continues recent resurgence by rising 19% year-on-year to MOP$21.1 billion in June

Tue 1 Jul 2025 at 12:52
113 East gains Macau distribution rights for two environmental products aiding food waste reduction and air purification

113 East gains Macau distribution rights for two environmental products aiding food waste reduction and air purification

Mon 30 Jun 2025 at 12:26
Load More
Tags: covid-19eVisasGaminggross gaming revenueIndividual Visit SchemeMacauMorgan Stanley
Share14Share2
Ben Blaschke

Ben Blaschke

A former sports journalist in Sydney, Australia, Ben has been Managing Editor of Inside Asian Gaming since early 2016. He played a leading role in developing and launching IAG Breakfast Briefing in April 2017 and oversees as well as being a key contributor to all of IAG’s editorial pursuits.

Current Issue

Editorial – An inconvenient truth

Editorial – An inconvenient truth

by Ben Blaschke
Fri 27 Jun 2025 at 15:21

It’s understandable that political observers, academics and members of the public in greenfield jurisdictions would express caution around the legalization...

Light & Wonder’s Siobhan Lane

Light & Wonder’s Siobhan Lane

by Ben Blaschke
Fri 27 Jun 2025 at 15:19

Siobhan Lane, Light & Wonder’s highly experienced CEO of Gaming, speaks to Inside Asian Gaming about the company’s ongoing transformation...

Honesty is the best policy

Honesty is the best policy

by Ben Blaschke
Fri 27 Jun 2025 at 14:13

The Thailand Entertainment Complex Roundtable brought industry stakeholders, politicians and supporters of the government’s Entertainment Complex Bill face to face...

Sri Lanka’s casino industry

Sri Lanka’s casino industry

by Shaun McCamley
Fri 27 Jun 2025 at 13:36

Industry veteran Shaun McCamley delves into the complex history of Sri Lanka’s casino industry at a time when the country...

Evolution Asia
Your browser does not support HTML5 video.
Aristocrat
GLI
SABA
Mindslot
Solaire
Hann
Tecnet
NWR
Jumbo
568Win

Related Posts

Abbiati: Italian Stallion

Abbiati targeting North and South American markets via strategic alliance with Hawkins Holdings

by Newsdesk
Wed 2 Jul 2025 at 09:39

Global gaming equipment supplier Abbiati Casino Equipment has entered into a strategic alliance with Hawkins Holdings – a company owned by seasoned gaming executive Roger Hawkins – to expand its presence across the Americas. Hawkins has been appointed Abbiati’s Brand...

Apollo completes acquisition of IGT gaming and digital businesses and Everi, new entity to trade under IGT name

Apollo completes acquisition of IGT gaming and digital businesses and Everi, new entity to trade under IGT name

by Ben Blaschke
Wed 2 Jul 2025 at 06:28

Asset management giant Apollo announced overnight that it has completed the acquisition of FinTech firm Everi Holdings and the Gaming and Digital businesses of International Game Technology (IGT). The two companies will be combined into a single enterprise operating under...

Aristocrat Gaming awarded license to develop MONOPOLY slot games globally

Aristocrat Gaming awarded license to develop MONOPOLY slot games globally

by Newsdesk
Wed 2 Jul 2025 at 06:21

Aristocrat Gaming has been granted the rights to develop MONOPOLY-branded slot games following the completion of a competitive RFP process, the company has revealed. The multi-year partnership with board game giant owner of the MONOPOLY brand Hasbro will come into...

Macau Legend says no concerns over ability to continue after reaching agreement with lenders to defer HK$2.1 billion in looming repayments

Macau Legend says no concerns over ability to continue after reaching agreement with lenders to defer HK$2.1 billion in looming repayments

by Ben Blaschke
Wed 2 Jul 2025 at 06:19

Macau Legend Development Ltd, owner and operator of Legend Palace and the Macau Fisherman’s Wharf precinct, says it has reached an agreement with lenders to defer payments on loans amounting to almost HK$2.1 billion (US$268 million) until late 2026, as...



IAG

© 2005-2024
Inside Asian Gaming.
All rights reserved.

  • SUBSCRIBE FREE
  • NEWSFEED
  • MAG ARTICLES
  • VIDEO
  • OPINION
  • TAGS
  • REGIONAL
  • EVENTS
  • CONSULTING
  • CONTRIBUTORS
  • MAGAZINES
  • ABOUT
  • CONTACT
  • ADVERTISE

Welcome Back!

Login to your account below

Forgotten Password?

Retrieve your password

Please enter your username or email address to reset your password.

Log In

Add New Playlist

No Result
View All Result
  • Subscribe
  • Newsfeed
  • Mag Articles
  • Video
  • Opinion
  • Tags
  • Regional
  • Events
  • Contributors
  • Magazines
  • Advertise
  • Contact
  • About
  • Home for G2E Asia

© 2005-2024
Inside Asian Gaming.
All rights reserved.

  • English