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Rising mass visitation, high VIP hold push Macau GGR to MOP$300 million per day

Ben Blaschke by Ben Blaschke
Tue 20 Apr 2021 at 05:04
Mass baccarat revenue shows 77% sequential increase in 3Q20, VIP baccarat up 56% as COVID recovery begins
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Macau’s gradual recovery from the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic has continued over the past week with gross gaming revenues reaching MOP$300 million (US$37.5 million) per day, according to analysts.

Described by JP Morgan as “one of the highest non-holiday readings post COVID-19,” the improved daily rate – up from around MOP$290 million a week earlier – has been attributed to rising visitation in the mass market segment plus high VIP hold.

Estimates have GGR for the week of 12 to 18 April at MOP$2.1 billion (US$262.5 million), with the average daily rate down 64% compared to April 2019 but up 12% on March 2021. The week also included the highest single day visitation in 15 months with 34,252 visitor arrivals last Friday 16 April.

“This reflects gradual yet consistent improvements in gambler/travel sentiment,” said JP Morgan’s DS Kim, Derek Choi and Livy Lyu, pointing to the upcoming May Day holiday period as the true test of Macau’s recovery which they “expect to be strong.

“While it’s always challenging to forecast holiday trends, we think a GGR print of anywhere from MOP$400 million (US$50 million) to MOP$500 million (US$62.5 million) per day would be seen as a strong success for the May Day holiday from 1 to 5 May.

“This, if it happens, would probably imply mass demand will have recovered to 70% to 80% of 2019 average levels despite ongoing travel frictions, hence very promising for full normalization into 2022.”

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Ben Blaschke

Ben Blaschke

A former sports journalist in Sydney, Australia, Ben has been Managing Editor of Inside Asian Gaming since early 2016. He played a leading role in developing and launching IAG Breakfast Briefing in April 2017 and oversees as well as being a key contributor to all of IAG’s editorial pursuits.

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